No clinical signs of heart failure
Rales, S3 gallop, or elevated JVP
Acute pulmonary edema
Cardiogenic shock
GRACE (Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events) ACS Risk Score
The GRACE ACS Risk Score is a comprehensive tool used to predict the risk of in-hospital and 6-month mortality for patients presenting with an acute coronary syndrome (ACS), including STEMI, NSTEMI, and unstable angina.
Scoring Predictors
The score is calculated based on eight independent predictors:
- Age: Points increase with age.
- Heart Rate: Higher rates receive more points.
- Systolic Blood Pressure: Lower pressures receive more points.
- Serum Creatinine: Higher levels receive more points.
- Killip Class: Assesses the severity of heart failure (Class I-IV).
- Cardiac Arrest at Admission: A significant high-risk feature.
- ST-Segment Deviation: Indicates significant myocardial ischemia.
- Elevated Cardiac Enzymes: Confirms myocardial necrosis.
Risk Stratification
The total score stratifies patients into three risk tiers:
Risk Tier | Score | In-Hospital Mortality | 6-Month Mortality |
---|---|---|---|
Low | ≤ 108 | <1% | <3% |
Intermediate | 109-140 | 1-3% | 3-8% |
High | > 140 | >3% | >8% |
Clinical Usefulness
The GRACE score is a powerful tool for guiding management strategies:
- Low-Risk Patients: May be suitable for a more conservative approach and earlier discharge.
- Intermediate to High-Risk Patients: Are more likely to benefit from an early invasive strategy, such as angiography and revascularization, and more potent antithrombotic therapies.
It provides a more nuanced risk assessment than many other scores by incorporating a wider range of clinical variables, including renal function and hemodynamic status.
References
- Granger, C. B., Goldberg, R. J., Dabbous, O., Pieper, K. S., Eagle, K. A., Cannon, C. P., ... & Fox, K. A. (2003). Predictors of hospital mortality in the global registry of acute coronary events. Archives of internal medicine, 163(19), 2345-2353.
- Eagle, K. A., Lim, M. J., Dabbous, O. H., Pieper, K. S., Goldberg, R. J., Van de Werf, F., ... & Granger, C. B. (2004). A validated prediction model for all forms of acute coronary syndrome: estimating the risk of 6-month postdischarge death in an international registry. JAMA, 291(22), 2727-2733.
- Fox, K. A., Dabbous, O. H., Goldberg, R. J., Pieper, K. S., Eagle, K. A., Van de Werf, F., ... & Granger, C. B. (2006). Prediction of risk of death and myocardial infarction in the six months after presentation with acute coronary syndrome: prospective multinational observational study (GRACE). BMJ, 333(7578), 1091.
- Amsterdam, E. A., Wenger, N. K., Brindis, R. G., Casey, D. E., Ganiats, T. G., Holmes, D. R., ... & Zieman, S. J. (2014). 2014 AHA/ACC guideline for the management of patients with non–ST-elevation acute coronary syndromes: a report of the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Task Force on Practice Guidelines. Journal of the American College of Cardiology, 64(24), e139-e228.
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